Frostburg State 
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 88.8502
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
219 H Holy Family CACC ( 6-10, 83.0) 22- 2
222 H Bloomsburg PSAC ( 7-10, 90.5) 9-10
228 H Gannon PSAC ( 5-12, 86.4) 18-12
302 H Thomas Jefferson CACC (11- 8, 90.0) 10- 9
305 H Seton Hill PSAC (13- 6, 94.1) 5-14
308 A Shippensburg PSAC ( 8- 9, 91.9) 10-17
312 A Shepherd PSAC ( 4-12, 90.0) 6-15
315 A Lock Haven PSAC ( 9- 8, 90.2) 7- 9
318 A Wilmington (DE) CACC (13- 6, 88.8) 17-18
323 H Charleston Mountain East (12- 5, 84.1) 14- 3
326 H West Virginia Wesleyan Mountain East ( 1-11, 73.3) 25- 2
329 A Wheeling Mountain East ( 6- 8, 81.3) 21- 6
403 H Davis & Elkins Mountain East ( 6-12, 78.3) 25- 4
409 A West Virginia Wesleyan Mountain East ( 1-11, 73.3) 23- 2
412 A Charleston Mountain East (12- 5, 84.1) 17- 9
419 H Wheeling Mountain East ( 6- 8, 81.3) 22- 8
423 A Davis & Elkins Mountain East ( 6-12, 78.3) 24- 3
501 H Wheeling Mountain East ( 6- 8, 81.3) 17- 1
504 H Dominican (CA) Mountain East (12- 2, 88.5) 13-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
219 H Holy Family 22- 2 20 6 0.00
222 H Bloomsburg 9-10 -1 -1 0.08
228 H Gannon 18-12 6 3 + 2.04
302 H Thomas Jefferson 10- 9 1 -1 1.65
305 H Seton Hill 5-14 -9 -5 -0.33
308 A Shippensburg 10-17 -7 -4 -1.42
312 A Shepherd 6-15 -9 -2 - -3.29
315 A Lock Haven 7- 9 -2 -2 -0.10
318 A Wilmington (DE) 17-18 -1 0 -0.52
323 H Charleston 14- 3 11 5 0.00
326 H West Virginia Wesleyan 25- 2 23 16 0.00
329 A Wheeling 21- 6 15 7 0.00
403 H Davis & Elkins 25- 4 21 11 0.00
409 A West Virginia Wesleyan 23- 2 21 15 0.00
412 A Charleston 17- 9 8 4 0.82
419 H Wheeling 22- 8 14 8 0.00
423 A Davis & Elkins 24- 3 21 10 0.00
501 H Wheeling 17- 1 16 8 0.00
504 H Dominican (CA) 13-11 2 1 1.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
312 A Shepherd 6-15 -9 -2 - -3.29
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 H Gannon 18-12 6 3 + 2.04
|
Frostburg State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
 
| Adelphi |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
 
| Alabama-Huntsville |
American International |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
Ashland |
Frostburg State |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Assumption |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Barton |
Frostburg State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Belmont Abbey |
Belmont Abbey |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Belmont Abbey |
Bentley |
Bentley |
|
 
| Bentley |
Bloomsburg |
Bloomsburg |
Bloomsburg |
 
| |
Bridgeport |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Caldwell |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Catawba |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Charleston |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
 
| |
Chestnut Hill |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Chowan |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Coker |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
|
 
| Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Concordia-St Paul |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Converse |
Frostburg State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
CSU-Pueblo |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
D'Youville |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Daemen |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Frostburg State |
Davenport |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Davis & Elkins |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
 
| |
District of Columbia |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Dominican (CA) |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
 
| |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Dominican (NY) |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
East Stroudsburg   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
Edinboro |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Emory & Henry |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Felician |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Findlay |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Flagler |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
 
| Florida Southern |
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Florida Tech |
Fort Lewis |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Franklin Pierce |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Gannon |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
 
| |
Georgian Court |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) |
Frostburg State |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
|
 
| Grand Valley State |
Holy Family |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
 
| |
Indiana (PA) |
Indiana (PA) |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) |
Indiana (PA) |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Indianapolis |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Lake Erie |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Lander |
Lander |
|
 
| Lander |
Lee |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Lees-McRae |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lewis |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
 
| Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Lock Haven |
Lock Haven |
Lock Haven |
 
| |
Lynn |
Lynn |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Lynn |
Malone |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Mars Hill |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
 
| Maryville |
McKendree |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Mercy |
Mercy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Mercy |
Millersville |
Millersville |
|
Millersville   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
Missouri Western |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Molloy |
Molloy |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Molloy |
Montevallo |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Mount Olive |
Mount Olive |
|
 
| Mount Olive |
New Haven |
New Haven |
|
 
| New Haven |
Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
North Greenville |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Northern Michigan |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Northwood |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Pace |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Pace |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
|
 
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Post |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Quincy |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Regis (CO) |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Roberts Wesleyan |
|
 
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Rockhurst |
Rollins |
Rollins |
|
 
| Rollins |
Saginaw Valley State |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
 
| |
Shepherd |
Shepherd |
Shepherd |
 
| |
Shippensburg |
Shippensburg |
Shippensburg |
 
| |
Shorter |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
Slippery Rock   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Southern Connecticut |
Southern Connecticut |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Southern Connecticut |
Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Southern New Hampshire |
Southern Wesleyan |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
St Leo |
St Leo |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Leo |
St Michaels |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Frostburg State |
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
 
| Tampa |
Thomas Jefferson |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
 
|
Thomas More |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Tiffin |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Tusculum |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Ursuline |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
UVA Wise |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
Virginia State |
Frostburg State |
|
Frostburg State   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Walsh |
Frostburg State |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Frostburg State |
West Chester |
West Chester |
|
West Chester   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
 
| |
Westminster (UT) |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Wheeling |
Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
 
| |
William Jewell |
Frostburg State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frostburg State |
Wilmington (DE) |
Wilmington (DE) |
Wilmington (DE) |
 
| |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wingate |
Young Harris |
Frostburg State |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Frostburg State |
PowerWise = 62

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Holy Family ( 6-10, 83.0) 22- 2 -16.88 14.30 -0.55 0.85 11.69
0 H Bloomsburg ( 7-10, 90.5) 9-10 -9.41 21.77 -0.55 0.85 -8.48
0 H Gannon ( 5-12, 86.4) 18-12 -13.46 17.72 -0.55 0.85 14.61
0 H Thomas Jeffers (11- 8, 90.0) 10- 9 -9.85 21.33 -0.55 0.85 17.67
0 H Seton Hill (13- 6, 94.1) 5-14 -5.83 25.35 -0.55 0.85 -5.43
0 A Shippensburg ( 8- 9, 91.9) 10-17 -8.02 23.16 0.55 0.85 -6.35
0 A Shepherd ( 4-12, 90.0) 6-15 -9.89 21.29 0.55 0.85 -7.94
0 A Lock Haven ( 9- 8, 90.2) 7- 9 -9.71 21.48 0.55 0.85 -7.78
0 A Wilmington (DE (13- 6, 88.8) 17-18 -11.13 20.05 0.55 0.85 -8.99
0 H Charleston (12- 5, 84.1) 14- 3 -15.78 15.40 -0.55 0.85 12.63
0 H West Virginia ( 1-11, 73.3) 25- 2 -26.56 4.62 -0.55 0.85 3.46
0 A Wheeling ( 6- 8, 81.3) 21- 6 -18.58 12.60 0.55 0.85 11.19
0 H Davis & Elkins ( 6-12, 78.3) 25- 4 -21.63 9.55 -0.55 0.85 7.65
0 A West Virginia ( 1-11, 73.3) 23- 2 -26.56 4.62 0.55 0.85 4.40
0 A Charleston (12- 5, 84.1) 17- 9 -15.78 15.40 0.55 0.85 13.57
0 H Wheeling ( 6- 8, 81.3) 22- 8 -18.58 12.60 -0.55 0.85 10.25
0 A Davis & Elkins ( 6-12, 78.3) 24- 3 -21.63 9.55 0.55 0.85 8.59
0 H Wheeling ( 6- 8, 81.3) 17- 1 -18.58 12.60 -0.55 0.85 10.25
0 H Dominican (CA) (12- 2, 88.5) 13-11 -11.39 19.79 -0.55 0.85 16.36
------
97.36
|
winning pts = 142.3327 losing points = -44.9755
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------